Iran is Trump's Katrina

Thoughts on the fallout from the Iran debacle. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 23 hours ago

Will China, Inc. be zombified?

A question surprisingly few people are asking. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 2 days ago

Degrowth would make Europeans into "Europoors"

Why Europe must grow. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 4 days ago

Are you finally ready to admit it's the phones?

We didn't evolve to live our lives as terminals of a digital hive-mind. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 6 days ago

Insurers aren't the main villain of the U.S. health care system

A repost from the Noahpinion archive. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 7 days ago

Roundup #83: I told you so!

Piketty gets wacky; Tokenmaxxing fails; Trump, drones, and Ukraine; Tariffs on China, again; India's growth; Borjas again | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 9 days ago

Why Europe should put up trade barriers against Chinese goods

There are benefits far beyond protectionism. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 11 days ago

I'm kind of over the whole "Anti-monopoly" movement

The struggle against excessive corporate power needs better standard-bearers. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 13 days ago

How much more software do we really need?

Probably a lot, but not necessarily the kinds people have made money on so far. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 15 days ago

The way we treat pigs is a sin

The practice of "crating" is torture, plain and simple. Voters want to end it, but Congress might not let them. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 17 days ago

America needs liberal nationalism back

The most successful ideology of the 20th century is still right for the 21st. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 19 days ago

Your future job will be to keep AI on task

The one thing humans will always be comparatively good at is knowing what we want. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 21 days ago

Are you tired of the Trump era yet?

Every few weeks there's a new disaster that would have sunk any other president. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 23 days ago

America is heading for a debtpocalypse

But if we act now, we can avert disaster. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 25 days ago

Roundup #82: Staring in wonder at the world

Crime; ICE raids; AI hate; Oligarchy; AI math; Small businesses; Neoliberal Claude; Slacker AGI; The Technium | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 27 days ago

All non-drone militaries are obsolete

All warfare is drone warfare now. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 29 days ago

Dating advice for men

Don't believe the incel stuff. Romance is very possible for regular, average men. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 1 month ago

Yes, Europeans are poorer than Americans

Comfortable, leisurely, pleasant stagnation is just not good enough for the modern age. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 1 month ago

Trump actually started to decouple America from China

The "economic divorce" between the two countries is proceeding slowly, but it is proceeding. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 1 month ago

Tyrants are losing wars

Ruthlessness and machismo will only get you so far in a technological world. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 1 month ago

Do billionaires earn their money?

That's probably the wrong question. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 1 month ago

Barack Obama was a successful President

A repost, because I'm annoyed. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 1 month ago

Could development economics be more useful?

What's really needed is humility. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 1 month ago

AI's big messaging pivot

Some top AI leaders now say their technology will create jobs. Should we believe them? | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 1 month ago

California's "billionaire tax" is the wrong approach

Left-populist instincts are leading to silly policy ideas. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 1 month ago

Roundup #81: Back to our regular programming

National debt; AI cyberattacks; Phone bans; AI and coding jobs; Millennials vs. Boomers; Public order; California YIMBYism | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 1 month ago

Scoring the Jensen-Dwarkesh debate

Export controls are holding back Chinese AI. Should we keep them? | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 1 month ago

The moderately easy problem of consciousness

Before deciding if computers are self-aware, let's figure out how humans become self-aware. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 1 month ago

Why shoplifting is bad

It may feel like a small act of rebellion, but it hurts a lot of people who don't deserve it. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 1 month ago

Is China's soft power really rising, or is America's just crumbling?

Chinamaxxing vs. Americaminning. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 1 month ago

No, America is not in a "stealth manufacturing boom"

Tariffs are canceling out the tailwinds. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 1 month ago

Updated thoughts on industrial policy

Economic consensus is changing, but it has a long way to go. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 1 month ago

Hasan Piker is bad for the Democrats

Republicans embraced extremist ideology and it backfired on them. Democrats shouldn't follow suit. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 2 months ago

You are what you consume

Personal identity should come from the things we get to choose for ourselves. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 2 months ago

What if a few AI companies end up with all the money and power?

Contemplating the grim future of the "Robot Lords". | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 2 months ago

Will Americans want more housing if it looks prettier?

Maybe a little bit, but I have my doubts. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 2 months ago

Yes, assimilation is good

Building a unified American culture isn't about bullying people; it's about living together in peace. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 2 months ago

I told you this would end badly

In retrospect, there were signs that Trump was not a good leader. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 2 months ago

Roundup #80: All AI, all the time

Growth; Biosecurity; Cybersecurity; Pseudonymity; Quant trading; AI adoption | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 2 months ago

Salarymen, specialists, and small businesses

Some brief thoughts on the (near) future of work. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 2 months ago

How Japan has changed in the last 20 years

Reflections on a unique nation. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 2 months ago

If you're in Tokyo this Friday, come to my hanami!

An annual tradition. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 2 months ago

Maybe you should have bought an electric car

The Iran War is illustrating the cost of anti-EV nonsense. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 2 months ago

Plentiful, high-paying jobs in the age of AI

A timely repost, with some needed clarifications. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 2 months ago

AI has the worst sales pitch I've ever seen

"Our product will make you economically useless, and possibly kill you" is not a value proposition. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 2 months ago

The economic consequences of the Iran war

The U.S. is likely to get off easy, while others will bear the brunt. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 2 months ago

There isn't always a "long arc" of morality

Progressives should beware the idea that history will deliver them inevitable victories. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 2 months ago

A conversation with Claude

In which a robot and I have a fun dorm-room chat about the future of science. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 2 months ago