Xi Jinping's paranoia, rapidly changing technology, and the limitations of China's system could cut short the Chinese Century. | Continue reading
Social media tore our society apart. Perhaps AI can put it back together. | Continue reading
Ehrlich; AI and knowledge; The Strait of Hormuz; Government debt and inflation; Japanese robots; Democrats and taxes; Smartphones | Continue reading
Thoughts on extrapolative expectations. | Continue reading
If the Board of Supervisors falls to the Progressives, the old dysfunction will return. | Continue reading
The coalitions are hardening, and the weapons are being deployed. | Continue reading
Is it AI? Tariffs? The immigration crackdown? | Continue reading
Thoughts on the fight between Anthropic and the Department of War. | Continue reading
A guest post by Rie Yano. | Continue reading
It's going to revolutionize science. It also might take control of this planet. | Continue reading
A few thoughts on the new Iran war. | Continue reading
AI and productivity; Yuppie Fishtank Theory; Global development; American living standards; George Borjas | Continue reading
In most ways, the U.S. is a typical rich country. Except for crime. | Continue reading
AI might take your job, but it probably won't crash the economy -- and if it does, we know how to deal with it. | Continue reading
The ridiculous policy has taken on a life of its own. | Continue reading
The economy is changing fast. Democrats need to be a rock in the storm. | Continue reading
An environmental danger almost no one is paying attention to. | Continue reading
Things have gotten scarier since 2023. | Continue reading
A timely repost. | Continue reading
The coming of AI means that humanity's destiny is (mostly) out of our hands. | Continue reading
BART fare gates; AI and jobs, again; Tariffs and trade deficits; Jon Stewart vs. the economists; H-1Bs; Japan's fiscal position | Continue reading
Japan is leaving its pacifist era behind. That creates some interesting economic opportunities. | Continue reading
The right narrows its coalition, while the left parasitizes its patrons | Continue reading
The age of humans who could think like computers is drawing to a close. | Continue reading
Democrats need to think beyond progressive pugnacity. | Continue reading
What happens after the Age of the Dollar ends? | Continue reading
A few thoughts on the AI race. | Continue reading
A timely repost. | Continue reading
There's a way to do it so that the benefits outweigh the costs. | Continue reading
Another ICE killing; Xi's Great Purge; Russian losses; America against science; India electrifies; Leftist economics | Continue reading
The more Trump makes it clear that America is not what it used to be, the more likely capital flight becomes. | Continue reading
There's probably a solution out there to fertility decline. Let's find it! | Continue reading
In the face of Trump's authoritarianism, liberals need a principled movement and a plan for governance. | Continue reading
The world is not a lump of "resources" | Continue reading
A hypothesis about why Americans are unhappy with their economy. | Continue reading
Iran; China vs. India; Russia; Leaving California; Reduced hiring; Indian development; Wind energy; Science funding | Continue reading
Trump's strategy for bringing down prices might work in the short term, but the long-term costs will be high. | Continue reading
The shooting of Renee Good, like all of the ICE abuses, is symptomatic of a deeper mental illness. | Continue reading
When it comes to technology, listen to Elon Musk. | Continue reading
The global order is disintegrating. What's next? | Continue reading
Our movement overreached and crashed. But the fundamental ideals are still just as powerful. | Continue reading
Don't be fooled by the people who say we should sell China everything we've got. | Continue reading
Abundance and small business; Luxury housing and rent; Tariffs and the economy; Fraud; Math anxiety; Chinese robots | Continue reading
The entire new section of my book. | Continue reading
Is our society slowly putting itself back together? | Continue reading
Part III of my book on the Japanese economy. | Continue reading
Deindustrialization sounds peaceful and easy and pleasant, but it's not. | Continue reading
If people don't believe that anti-discrimination law protects them, they will turn to racial bloc politics. | Continue reading