Florida’s Insurance Slide into Catastrophe is a Warning

First Florida, then the world. Nature Climate Change – Unpriced climate risk and the potential consequences of overvaluation in US housing markets – 16 February 2023: We find that residential properties exposed to flood risk are overvalued by US$121–US$237 billion, depending on t … | Continue reading


@thinc.blog | 3 months ago

Weekend Wonk Bonus: Stefan Rahmstorf on Atlantic Circulation

WFLA Tampa: If you remember the movie “The Day After Tomorrow,” starring Jake Gyllenhaal in 2004, weather patterns became so out of whack that New York City got flooded by a huge tsunami and gigantic tornadoes that ravaged the land. The plot is outlandish – but like so many scien … | Continue reading


@thinc.blog | 3 months ago

Ernesto Swallows Homes from 1000 Miles Away

Description: Hurricane Ernesto was more than 1,000 miles away from the Tar Heel State when the collapse happened. The National Weather Service office in Morehead City, North Carolina, issued a Coastal Flood Advisory and a High Surf Advisory for many coastal areas because the comb … | Continue reading


@thinc.blog | 3 months ago

Debby Showed Us How Climate has Changed Hurricanes

Above, Sarasota still feeling long term effects of Hurricane Debby’s torrential rains. Mary Anna Mancuso is a political strategist and a spokesperson for RepublicEn.org, a growing group of conservatives who care about climate change. Mary Anna Mancuso in The Invading Sea: Tropica … | Continue reading


@thinc.blog | 3 months ago

The Weekend Wonk: Climate Tipping Points Critical

Johann Rockstrom of Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research in Germany has a harrowing assessment of recently observed acceleration in climate impacts. | Continue reading


@thinc.blog | 3 months ago

Climate Activists Obtain Hidden Camera Footage of Project 2025 Architect

Hidden camera reporting on Project 2025 – secret video of P2025 author, who is also author of GOP platform – this cut is even more shocking: -“Getting ready for a year 5 of the Trump administration”-favors Nationwide abortion ban with no exceptions “I want to get to abolition (of … | Continue reading


@thinc.blog | 3 months ago

Project 2025 Would Devastate Climate Action

The Daily Show has a pretty funny run down on the creepy “Training Videos” that leaked from the Trump Campaign’s plan for a new administration, known as “Project 2025”. The document outlines plans to “eradicate” climate change “everywhere” across the government, deconstruct NOAA … | Continue reading


@thinc.blog | 3 months ago

Pakistan Addresses Blackouts, Prices, with Solar

Business Standard: Electricity bills have outpaced home rental rates for some people in Pakistan, as tariff increases and other reforms to comply with IMF loan conditions spark nationwide protests. The South Asian nation — where nearly half the population survives on less than $4 … | Continue reading


@thinc.blog | 3 months ago

Republicans Will Defend Biden’s Green Jobs in Red Areas

They’re not going back, it turns out. Bloomberg: In Georgia, the heart of the US green manufacturing boom, a new electric vehicle gigafactory is nearing completion. Spanning 3,000 acres, the plant is expected to create 8,500 new jobs. Hyundai Motor Co. has tapped incentives from … | Continue reading


@thinc.blog | 3 months ago

Music Break: Mavis Staples – Hard Times Come Again No More

I’ve heard a few good versions of this Stephen Foster classic, but this one is fire. | Continue reading


@thinc.blog | 3 months ago

Ernesto Will Be a Hurricane

2024 Hurricane Season continues to run ahead, and above, normal. Michael Lowry – Eye on the Tropics: Winds gusted to 74 mph on the eastern edge of Puerto Rico during the pre-dawn hours Wednesday. So far over up to 7 inches of rain has fallen, mainly south and east of San Juan in … | Continue reading


@thinc.blog | 3 months ago

Ernesto Update: Warnings Up for Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands

Schools closing, National Guard activated in Puerto Rico, warnings to “expect outages..”.No word on whether Donald Trump will send paper towels. NPR: Puerto Rico activated the National Guard and canceled the start of classes in public schools as forecasters warned that the U.S. t … | Continue reading


@thinc.blog | 3 months ago

Weird: Musk Continues Bewildering Brand Destruction

Above, famously clear explanation of climate change by Elon Musk from 8 years ago..Now, we have last night’s bizarre and baffling “interview” with Donald Trump, downplaying climate risks, that Trump has called “a Hoax.” It can only be called Weird. Guardian: Donald Trump and Elon … | Continue reading


@thinc.blog | 3 months ago

Real Estate Expert: Florida Neighborhood is a Sea of For Sale Signs

Fascinating walk-through of a St Petersburgh neighborhood where a large number of home owners are clearly distressed, and the narrator points out there have been a string of severe flood events making things progressively worse.This New York Times story, that I missed, describes … | Continue reading


@thinc.blog | 3 months ago

Music Break: John Mellencamp – “Small Town”

Totally great that this has become Tim Walz theme music at rallies. | Continue reading


@thinc.blog | 3 months ago

Chill Out on Nuclear Plant Fire Photos

CNN: Russian forces started a fire at the Russian-controlled Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant in southern Ukraine, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky said in a Telegram post Sunday. Zelensky posted a video showing a large plume of smoke coming out of one of the towers on the … | Continue reading


@thinc.blog | 3 months ago

Ernesto Update: Monday August 12

TLDW: Could become Tropical storm as it moves over Virgin Islands/Puerto Rico, possibly a Cat 2 Hurricane, but current steering guidance curves it away from the US coast, except for possibly coastal impacts in New England and/or Canada. | Continue reading


@thinc.blog | 3 months ago

Walz has been a Climate Champion. Mostly.

Tim Walz, Kamala Harris’ new pick for Vice President, is one of several upper midwest progressive Governors who have taken very pro-active stances on climate change.As the video mentions above, Minnesota under Walz has set an ambitious goal to decarbonize their grid by 2040. Mich … | Continue reading


@thinc.blog | 3 months ago

Texas Insurance Prices Skyrocketing with Weather Extremes

Florida, California, Texas, Louisiana.Coming soon to a state near you. Unaffordable home insurance. Below, mashup of reports from NBC News, a Wichita, Kansas, local report, and my interview with Andrew Dessler on the climate and insurance dilemma.Climate change impact that most A … | Continue reading


@thinc.blog | 3 months ago

Expecting Ernesto – New Storms on the Way

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@thinc.blog | 3 months ago

The Weekend Wonk: The Value of Whale Poop and Carbon

What is the carbon sequestration value of single whale? “A living and thriving nature is not only valuable intrinsically” – we can actually put a financial value on it. Climate Risk is financial risk – and we need to start accounting for it. Below, do not miss the scathing exchan … | Continue reading


@thinc.blog | 3 months ago

Emergency Declared in Ohio – Power Outage Approaches a Week

As Ohioans pick thru the wreckage and swelter in the dark, following last week’s severe storms – Dave Anderson, a journalist working with the utility watchdog Energy and Policy Institute has a reminder.Federal prosecutors are still sorting out the largest racketeering and bribery … | Continue reading


@thinc.blog | 3 months ago

Taxpayers on the Hook to Protect High End Beach Communities

We’re spending a lot of money to keep rich people’s beach front property maintained and insured. There are some justifications made to continue it, such as preservation of expensive infrastructure, and maintaining beach habitat for species under threat. How about this idea? If ch … | Continue reading


@thinc.blog | 3 months ago

Project 2025 “Training Videos” Leaked

She looks like a warm, fun loving person.“Eradicate Climate Change References Everywhere.” Oops. ProPublica: Project 2025, the controversial playbook and policy agenda for a right-wing presidential administration, has lost its director and faced scathing criticism from both Democ … | Continue reading


@thinc.blog | 3 months ago

Next Wave Could Become Ernesto

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@thinc.blog | 3 months ago

Ukraine Takes Control of Energy Facility

Illustrating the fragility and instability of a world run on scarce, expensive resources. Any Euro-Energy experts out there, weigh in. US News and World Report: Video posted on Ukrainian media outlets on Friday showed Ukrainian soldiers in control of a gas measuring facility in t … | Continue reading


@thinc.blog | 3 months ago

Meteorologist: Debby a 1 in 200 Year Rain Event, Due to Warm Gulf

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@thinc.blog | 3 months ago

Oops. Wildfires Burn down “Carbon Credit” Forests

Financial Times (paywall): One of the largest wildfires in California’s history has burnt through swaths of forest earmarked for conservation under carbon credit plans backed by companies including oil refining and power groups. The blaze so far covering 450,000 acres, known as t … | Continue reading


@thinc.blog | 3 months ago

Music Break: Bon Iver – Battle Cry of Freedom

Song written in 1862 by American composer George Frederick Root (1820–1895). More video from the rally below. | Continue reading


@thinc.blog | 3 months ago

Climate Catastrophe Animal Vid of the Week: Rescuing Rescues from Debby

Evac-ing rescue animals ahead of Debby’s deluge. These animals are the lucky ones – climate change is already causing untold suffering among animal populations. | Continue reading


@thinc.blog | 3 months ago

Vermont: Are Frequent Floods the New Normal for this “Climate Haven”?

Still drying out from record floods a week ago, Debby on deck.Not too long ago, people were saying Vermont was a “climate haven’. There are no climate havens. WCAX Burlington: BURLINGTON, Vt. (WCAX) – A year after destructive flooding rocked Vermont, two more devastating floods h … | Continue reading


@thinc.blog | 3 months ago

EVs as an Election Issue

Spotlights Michigan Senate Race with Elissa Slotkin and Mike Rogers squaring off to take retiring Debbie Stabenow’s seat. | Continue reading


@thinc.blog | 3 months ago

Has Climate Denial Switched Tactics?

Above from my recent interview with Andrew Dessler.I would agree that climate denial is a little less overt than it was 15 years ago, but there’s still a lot of just plain silence around climate issues, sadly in the media, especially local reporting, which is some of the most tru … | Continue reading


@thinc.blog | 3 months ago

“Unlike any Storm”- Florida Infrastructure Fails with Debby

These stories keep coming days after Hurricane Debby has moved on.Supercharged with moisture from a bathtub warm Gulf of Mexico, the barely Cat 1 hurricane dropped enough water to overwhelm storm sewers even in areas that were not categorized as flood zones. This report from a Ta … | Continue reading


@thinc.blog | 3 months ago

In Tampa, Record Rains Wash Sewage into Waterways. News Reports Avoid the “C” Word

Perfect example of how increasing extreme rains overwhelm aging storm systems and pollute waterways. We either adapt with ever more expensive upgrades, or pay the price of p0lluted, dangerous, and disease ridden water.As usual, local news commentators completely fail to make the … | Continue reading


@thinc.blog | 3 months ago

Trailer: Mississippi John Hurt Doc Features All Stars

When did John Sebastian get old? | Continue reading


@thinc.blog | 3 months ago

The Climate and Kamala Harris

Leah Stokes in The Guardian: When we spoke, Harris demonstrated a depth I didn’t expect – she geeked out over heat pumps, confessed her love of electric school buses and described the heavy burdens poorer communities face from air pollution. The more I learned about her backgroun … | Continue reading


@thinc.blog | 3 months ago

Climate Change’s Distant Future

We’ve changed the planet – forever, in human terms.YouTuber with a PhD Climate Adam has a long view look forward. The good news – we’ve pushed back a potential new Ice Age.But, there’s bad news, too. “Before I draw nearer to that stone to which you point,” said Scrooge, “answer m … | Continue reading


@thinc.blog | 3 months ago

Florida’s Insurer of Last Resort Asks Big Rate Increase

ABC reported earlier today that Florida’s largest insurer had asked for a 13 percent rate increase, so I did a little lookup.The largest insurer is called Citizens, and it’s the taxpayer supported insurer of last resort that has taken on a lot of customers fleeing from commercial … | Continue reading


@thinc.blog | 3 months ago

Climate Change and the Power of Words

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@thinc.blog | 3 months ago

National Hurricane Center Debby Update

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@thinc.blog | 3 months ago

Debby Continues Slow March on Already Waterlogged East

ABC report from this morning “Florida’s largest insurer already requesting 13 percent rate increase.” The northeast is waterlogged from constant rain, and there is video of soaking rains in New York over last 24 hours, but that is exactly where the remnants of Hurricane Debby are … | Continue reading


@thinc.blog | 3 months ago

Tuesday Night: Debby “Parked” Off Carolinas

Debby continues to move ever so slowly up the coast.Say a prayer for rain soaked New Englanders who will be getting the remnants of Debby, plus more, this weekend, as Bryan Norcross explains. | Continue reading


@thinc.blog | 3 months ago

Music Break: Brittany Howard – Power to Undo

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@thinc.blog | 3 months ago

Debby: Dawdling and Dumping on Carolinas

“Highly unusual” 4-5 days of flood watches in Carolinas, as Debby dawdles and dumps. No steering flow to push storm along until friday – saturday.After that, a long haul up the east coast. Storm weary Vermont/upstate New York in the forecast cone. | Continue reading


@thinc.blog | 3 months ago

Debby Rain Rates Intense, and Just Beginning a Long Week’s Downpour

It’s going to be a long week, as Debby is moving so slowly it won’t clear from the SouthEast till Friday. National Hurricane Center graphic shows the forecast cone, check out the timing notation in the center for “2 pm Fri”. Still over Carolinas.Beyond that unknown but clear pote … | Continue reading


@thinc.blog | 3 months ago

Debby Update August 5 – “Just Getting Started”

There’s a flaw with the Saffir-Simpson scale for hurricanes, as Debby will show, wind speeds go down as it crosses inland, but the heavy rains will threaten all time records. | Continue reading


@thinc.blog | 3 months ago

As Debby Dumps: What We Know About Climate and Hurricanes

Andrew Dessler in the Climate Brink: 1. Tropical cyclones are becoming more destructive: sea level We have 100% confidence that sea level is rising because humans are heating the planet. And higher sea levels mean today’s TCs do more damage than an identical tropical cyclone in a … | Continue reading


@thinc.blog | 3 months ago