With just five days until Election Day, Republicans are in good shape in the FiveThirtyEight forecast. If each party were to win every race they are currently f… | Continue reading
Welcome to The Riddler. Every week, I offer up problems related to the things we hold dear around here: math, logic and probability. Two puzzles are presented e… | Continue reading
The beginning of the end for the Voting Rights Act started more than 30 years ago. On Oct. 4, the end of the end is likely to begin. This term, the Supreme Cour… | Continue reading
Monkeypox shows how hard it is to answer that question. | Continue reading
Politics doesn’t have a farm system in the way that professional baseball does. But it has a hierarchy of its own for cultivating political prospects. The path … | Continue reading
As was the case when we launched the forecast a month ago, the Deluxe version of FiveThirtyEight’s midterm model still rates the battle for control of the Senat… | Continue reading
The impending retirements of Roger Federer, Serena Williams and Rafael Nadal — winners of a combined 65 major singles titles — have some worried about the end o… | Continue reading
Competitive congressional districts have been steadily disappearing for decades. In the current redistricting cycle, six highly competitive districts in the Hou… | Continue reading
You’re reading Data Is Plural, a weekly newsletter of useful/curious datasets. Below you’ll find the June 15, 2022, edition, reprinted with permission at FiveTh… | Continue reading
The following is an updated version of this article, published in 2018. The horror in Uvalde, Texas, last week was horrifyingly familiar to Mary Ellen O’Toole. … | Continue reading
The alarm was deafening. My coffin-shaped acrylics crawled from underneath the covers, searched for the stop button and quickly found my Apple Watch. I slapped … | Continue reading
Black voters face a catch-22 — a long-running catch-22, sure, but no less of a problem because of that. The 2022 midterms are approaching and Black voters must … | Continue reading
And why that will make communication around the next crisis so much more challenging. | Continue reading
Coming soon to a 2024 Republican presidential primary ad near you: Gov. Ron DeSantis stood up to moderate Republicans who wanted to appease liberal Democrats, a… | Continue reading
FiveThirtyEight is seeking a kind, collaborative and creative Senior Visual Journalist to join our Interactives and Graphics team. Senior Visual Journalists are… | Continue reading
Imagine the federal government could lift millions of American children out of poverty with a single program. That program would help parents put nutritious mea… | Continue reading
Welcome to Pollapalooza, our weekly polling roundup. Congress can’t agree on much lately — except, apparently, their hatred of changing the clocks twice a year.… | Continue reading
If a kid isn’t keeping up with peers academically, summer school seems like a no-brainer. Instead of forgetting what they learned during the school year while t… | Continue reading
Officials are trained based on what their grades show, but teams would like more transparency. | Continue reading
In a moment of deep political gloom, having faith in any politician might feel like a dangerous game. But starting with President Biden’s victory in the 2020 el… | Continue reading
The chess machines never stop playing. | Continue reading
It was the summer of 1979, and President Jimmy Carter was up against it. Americans were paying far more for gas and groceries than they were the year before, an… | Continue reading
What makes a house a home? How do you spread tidings of comfort and joy around your apartment? Will roasting chestnuts on an open fire really make you feel like… | Continue reading
The MLB lockout has been a long time coming. | Continue reading
The rituals -- fasting, wearing a hospital gown, undergoing anesthesia -- foster an expectation that the procedure will provide relief. | Continue reading
Not so long ago, pot was made out to be a taboo “gateway drug” that would tar your lungs and damage your brain forever. But pot isn’t taboo anymore. Eighteen st… | Continue reading
Since Friday, Norway’s Magnus Carlsen and Russia’s Ian Nepomniachtchi have been spending their days in a glass box in Dubai, vying for the 2021 World Chess Cham… | Continue reading
Not so long ago, pot was made out to be a taboo “gateway drug” that would tar your lungs and damage your brain forever. But pot isn’t taboo anymore. Eighteen st… | Continue reading
This article is a collaboration between FiveThirtyEight and The Fuller Project, a nonprofit newsroom reporting on issues that affect women. One day last spring,… | Continue reading
In August, police in Pennsylvania and New Jersey arrested three men they said were smuggling untraceable guns across state lines. Prosecutors have charged the m… | Continue reading
ILLUSTRATION BY EMILY SCHERER / GETTY IMAGES President Biden and his entourage will be headed to the U.N. Climate Change Conference in Glasgow this weekend to d… | Continue reading
Sen. Mitch McConnell didn’t know what he was doing when he passed the 2018 Farm Bill. The bill included his provision that legalized industrial hemp, a form of … | Continue reading
This year’s San Francisco Giants-Los Angeles Dodgers division series was billed as a historic clash of dominant regular-season teams, with the two clubs combini… | Continue reading
What can Carmelo Anthony bring to Los Angeles? | Continue reading
When the suburban Chicago hospital where her mother was being treated for COVID-19 refused to give her ivermectin, Tiffany Wilson had her moved to another hospi… | Continue reading
When she was hired as a professor by Harvard University in 2013, Lorgia García Peña was the only Black Latina on a tenure track in the university’s Faculty of A… | Continue reading
Here at FiveThirtyEight, we tend to think statistics can add to our understanding of sports. (What a surprise!) From the more mature sabermetric movements of ba… | Continue reading
If you had to guess which House candidate has raised the most money so far, you might guess that person was a well-heeled incumbent or someone running in a comp… | Continue reading
School vaccine mandates can teach us a lot about requiring the COVID-19 jab. | Continue reading
William Koch — yes, one of those Kochs — is giving a tour of his wine cellar when he asks the obvious question: “Did you see the wine bathroom?” he asked. “Wa… | Continue reading
Noah Basketball's service is used by more than half of the NBA's franchises. | Continue reading
If you started working from home in the last 16 months, you’re in good company. Over 100 million Americans transitioned from in-person to remote work during the… | Continue reading
If you started working from home in the last 16 months, you’re in good company. Over 100 million Americans transitioned from in-person to remote work during the… | Continue reading
Back in March, New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo’s political future hung in limbo. Several women had come forward with detailed allegations of sexual harassment agains… | Continue reading
Sport climbing is making its debut at the Olympic Games this year. To win a medal, 20 men and 20 women will each compete in three separate events: lead, speed a… | Continue reading
The Olympics are an international celebration of sport, but not all sports are invited to the cool kids’ table. The first modern Olympics in 1896 had only a han… | Continue reading
Poll(s) of the Week Tuesday marked the international holiday for marijuana — and consumers of the plant had lots to celebrate this year. New York, Virgin… | Continue reading