Ukraine Thoughts and Links

... | Continue reading

@astralcodexten.substack.com | 2 years ago

What Are We Arguing About When We Argue About Rationality?

... | Continue reading

@astralcodexten.substack.com | 2 years ago

Ukraine Warcasting

Mantic Monday 2/28/22: Predictions, market accountability, pundit accountability | Continue reading

@astralcodexten.substack.com | 2 years ago

Biological Anchors: A Trick That Might or Might Not Work

... | Continue reading

@astralcodexten.substack.com | 2 years ago

Links for February

... | Continue reading

@astralcodexten.substack.com | 2 years ago

The Gods Only Have Power Because We Believe in Them

... | Continue reading

@astralcodexten.substack.com | 2 years ago

Highlights from the Comments on Motivated Reasoning and Reinforcement Learning

... | Continue reading

@astralcodexten.substack.com | 2 years ago

ACX Grants And+: The Second Half

... | Continue reading

@astralcodexten.substack.com | 2 years ago

Heuristics That Almost Always Work

... | Continue reading

@astralcodexten.substack.com | 2 years ago

The Passage of Polymarket

Mantic Monday 2/7/22 | Continue reading

@astralcodexten.substack.com | 2 years ago

Book Review Contest Rules 2022

... | Continue reading

@astralcodexten.substack.com | 2 years ago

Motivated Reasoning as Mis-Applied Reinforcement Learning

... | Continue reading

@astralcodexten.substack.com | 2 years ago

Predictions for 2022

Plus a contest where you try to beat me | Continue reading

@astralcodexten.substack.com | 2 years ago

On Health Care Systems

... | Continue reading

@astralcodexten.substack.com | 2 years ago

Resubmit and Summarize Your Proposals for Grants And+

... | Continue reading

@astralcodexten.substack.com | 2 years ago

Practically-a-Book Review: Yudkowsky Contra Ngo on Agents

... | Continue reading

@astralcodexten.substack.com | 2 years ago

Lewis Carroll Invented Retroactive Public Goods Funding in 1894

... | Continue reading

@astralcodexten.substack.com | 2 years ago

Addendum to “No Evidence” Post

... | Continue reading

@astralcodexten.substack.com | 2 years ago

FDA won't approve fluvoxamine for Covid because there's no drug company sponsor

... | Continue reading

@astralcodexten.substack.com | 2 years ago

Mantic Monday: Let Me Google That for You

Plus options, prisons, obesity, and human sacrifice | Continue reading

@astralcodexten.substack.com | 2 years ago

Ancient Plagues

... | Continue reading

@astralcodexten.substack.com | 2 years ago

Does Georgism Work, Part 3: Can Unimproved Land Value Be Accurately Assessed

A guest post on Georgism by Lars Doucet | Continue reading

@astralcodexten.substack.com | 2 years ago

Does Georgism Work? Part 2: Can Landlords Pass Land Value Tax on to Tenants?

... | Continue reading

@astralcodexten.substack.com | 2 years ago

Does Georgism Work? Is Land a Big Deal?

A guest post on Georgism by Lars Doucet | Continue reading

@astralcodexten.substack.com | 2 years ago

Diseasonality

Why is winter flu season? Why do diseases even have a season? | Continue reading

@astralcodexten.substack.com | 2 years ago

MM: Omicron Variant

... | Continue reading

@astralcodexten.substack.com | 2 years ago

Pascalian Medicine

THIS IS NOT MEDICAL ADVICE | Continue reading

@astralcodexten.substack.com | 2 years ago

Highlights from the Comments on Great Families

... | Continue reading

@astralcodexten.substack.com | 2 years ago

Ivermectin: Much More Than You Wanted to Know

... | Continue reading

@astralcodexten.substack.com | 2 years ago

Apply for an ACX Grant

... | Continue reading

@astralcodexten.substack.com | 2 years ago

Dictator Book Club: Orban

... | Continue reading

@astralcodexten.substack.com | 2 years ago

Jhanas and the Dark Room Problem

... | Continue reading

@astralcodexten.substack.com | 2 years ago

Epistemic Minor Leagues

... | Continue reading

@astralcodexten.substack.com | 2 years ago

Chilling Effects

In what sense do 10% of people die of the cold? Also, why are heat-related deaths most common in Greenland? | Continue reading

@astralcodexten.substack.com | 2 years ago

Whither Tartaria? Why are modern and traditional buildings so different

... | Continue reading

@astralcodexten.substack.com | 2 years ago

Correction: London Meetup Location

... | Continue reading

@astralcodexten.substack.com | 2 years ago

Please Don't Give Up on Having Kids Because of Climate Change

It will probably make things worse, and there are better ways to contribute | Continue reading

@astralcodexten.substack.com | 2 years ago

Highlights from the Comments on Modern Architecture

... | Continue reading

@astralcodexten.substack.com | 2 years ago

Book Review: The Scout Mindset

... | Continue reading

@astralcodexten.substack.com | 2 years ago

Lisbon Meetup This Saturday

... | Continue reading

@astralcodexten.substack.com | 2 years ago

Book Review: The Revolt of the Public

... | Continue reading

@astralcodexten.substack.com | 2 years ago

Book Review: Modi – A Political Biography

... | Continue reading

@astralcodexten.substack.com | 2 years ago

The Unbearable Semiheaviness of Being – Scott Alexander

... | Continue reading

@astralcodexten.substack.com | 2 years ago

Too Good to Check: A Play in Three Acts

... | Continue reading

@astralcodexten.substack.com | 2 years ago

Long Covid: Much More Than You Wanted to Know

... | Continue reading

@astralcodexten.substack.com | 2 years ago

Peer Review: Long Covid: Much More Than You Wanted to Know

... | Continue reading

@astralcodexten.substack.com | 2 years ago

On Hreha on Behavioral Economics

... | Continue reading

@astralcodexten.substack.com | 2 years ago

Highlights from the Comments on Missing School

... | Continue reading

@astralcodexten.substack.com | 2 years ago