China is killing the fish

An environmental danger almost no one is paying attention to. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 2 months ago

Updated thoughts on AI risk

Things have gotten scarier since 2023. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 3 months ago

How technology has already changed the world in my lifetime

A timely repost. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 3 months ago

You are no longer the smartest type of thing on Earth

The coming of AI means that humanity's destiny is (mostly) out of our hands. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 3 months ago

Roundup #77: The Fix-Everything Button

BART fare gates; AI and jobs, again; Tariffs and trade deficits; Jon Stewart vs. the economists; H-1Bs; Japan's fiscal position | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 3 months ago

The Takaichi Era begins for real

Japan is leaving its pacifist era behind. That creates some interesting economic opportunities. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 3 months ago

Why America's extremes will both fail

The right narrows its coalition, while the left parasitizes its patrons | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 3 months ago

The Fall of the Nerds

The age of humans who could think like computers is drawing to a close. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 3 months ago

What a liberal immigration enforcement policy might look like

Democrats need to think beyond progressive pugnacity. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 3 months ago

International financial anarchy

What happens after the Age of the Dollar ends? | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 3 months ago

What if AI succeeds but OpenAI fails?

A few thoughts on the AI race. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 3 months ago

No, China doesn't plan 1000 years ahead

A timely repost. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 3 months ago

Let the Chinese cars in

There's a way to do it so that the benefits outweigh the costs. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 3 months ago

Roundup #76: Great Powers acting stupid

Another ICE killing; Xi's Great Purge; Russian losses; America against science; India electrifies; Leftist economics | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 3 months ago

What happens if the world pulls its money out of America?

The more Trump makes it clear that America is not what it used to be, the more likely capital flight becomes. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 3 months ago

Let's save the human species!

There's probably a solution out there to fertility decline. Let's find it! | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 3 months ago

Resistance is necessary, but it's not enough

In the face of Trump's authoritarianism, liberals need a principled movement and a plan for governance. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 3 months ago

Zero-sum economics keeps failing

The world is not a lump of "resources" | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 3 months ago

Trapped in the hell of social comparison

A hypothesis about why Americans are unhappy with their economy. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 4 months ago

Roundup #75: Checking in on the Bad Guys

Iran; China vs. India; Russia; Leaving California; Reduced hiring; Indian development; Wind energy; Science funding | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 4 months ago

Gangster affordability

Trump's strategy for bringing down prices might work in the short term, but the long-term costs will be high. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 4 months ago

Why are federal agents gunning down Americans in the streets?

The shooting of Renee Good, like all of the ICE abuses, is symptomatic of a deeper mental illness. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 4 months ago

America must embrace the Electric Age, or fall behind

When it comes to technology, listen to Elon Musk. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 4 months ago

Welcome to Chaos World

The global order is disintegrating. What's next? | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 4 months ago

Where does a liberal go from here?

Our movement overreached and crashed. But the fundamental ideals are still just as powerful. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 4 months ago

America's chip export controls are working

Don't be fooled by the people who say we should sell China everything we've got. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 4 months ago

At least five interesting things: Buy Local edition (#74)

Abundance and small business; Luxury housing and rent; Tariffs and the economy; Fraud; Math anxiety; Chinese robots | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 4 months ago

The Weeb Economy

The entire new section of my book. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 4 months ago

Ten things that are going right in America

Is our society slowly putting itself back together? | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 4 months ago

Why Everyone Loves Japan

Part III of my book on the Japanese economy. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 4 months ago

Why Europe should resist the Second China Shock

Deindustrialization sounds peaceful and easy and pleasant, but it's not. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 4 months ago

America has to feel fair

If people don't believe that anti-discrimination law protects them, they will turn to racial bloc politics. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 4 months ago

Can we make America feel more affordable?

Americans want prices to actually go down, not just to rise more slowly. Making that happen will be tough. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 4 months ago

I think India can do it

A lot of people doubt that India can develop. I'll take the other side of that bet. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 5 months ago

FDI is the missing piece of Japan’s puzzle

Part II of my book, Weeb Economy. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 5 months ago

My thoughts on AI safety

Contemplating the unknowable. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 5 months ago

The Trump presidency is still alive and kicking

There are some strains, but the wheels aren't coming off quite yet. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 5 months ago

At least five interesting things: Debunking the Debunkers edition (#73)

Basic income; Mississippi education; Nick Fuentes; Positive social trends; Botswana; Prison vs. mental hospitals; Building aesthetics; China brain-drain | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 5 months ago

Should robots take our jobs?

In which I debate Brian Merchant on the robot future | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 5 months ago

The AI bust scenario that no one is talking about

Even if AI works, and even if it gets adopted very fast, it might not make profit. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 5 months ago

Europe is under siege

Menaced by Russia and China, abandoned by America. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 5 months ago

They need to make you hate some group

As soon as you start judging people as a group, the rightists win. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 5 months ago

China has invented a whole new way to do innovation

Extreme vertical integration makes China's research system different than any other. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 5 months ago

America's mayors are right to support small business

Supporting the middle class, shoring up support for the system, and restoring the lifeblood of our cities. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 5 months ago

I love AI. Why doesn't everyone?

Anti-AI sentiment might or might not be rational, but it certainly relies on a lot of bad arguments. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 5 months ago

The "$140,000 poverty line" is very silly

People love to say that the American middle class is poor. But it's not. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 5 months ago

Book Review: "Blank Space"

In which David Marx offers a theory of why our culture has stagnated. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 5 months ago

Noahpinion's 2025 Year in Review

Year Five of the Noahpinion Substack. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 5 months ago