Top 5 reasons OpenAI is probably not worth 90 billion dollars

Are OpenAI employees unloading at the moment of peak AI hype? | Continue reading


@garymarcus.substack.com | 1 year ago

Elegant and powerful new result that seriously undermines large language models

Wowed by a new paper I just read and wish I had thought to write myself. Lukas Berglund and others, led by Owain Evans, asked a simple, powerful, elegant question: can LLMs trained on A is B infer automatically that B is A? The shocking (yet, in historical context, see below, uns … | Continue reading


@garymarcus.substack.com | 1 year ago

Six months after the Pause letter, AI is still erratic — and still something we should still be deeply concerned about

Friday will be six months after the infamous “pause letter”, signed by Yoshua Bengio, myself, Steve Wozniak, Rachel Bronson, Viktoria Krakovna, Tristan Harris, Gillian Hadfield, Ian Hogarth, Elon Musk, and tens of thousands of other people. Since then everything has c … | Continue reading


@garymarcus.substack.com | 1 year ago

Karen Bakker, 1971-2023

A true visionary, gone too soon | Continue reading


@garymarcus.substack.com | 1 year ago

The dirty underbelly of AI

Surveillance capitalism just keeps going and going | Continue reading


@garymarcus.substack.com | 1 year ago

Doug Lenat, 1950-2023

AI has lost a giant | Continue reading


@garymarcus.substack.com | 1 year ago

Could we all be doomed, without ranked-choice voting?

As I wrote the other day, p(doom) is somewhat-tongue-in-cheek shorthand for the probability that we are all going to die from some AI-induced extinction event. I rather doubt that will happen, but I am not sure that it won’t. What I am sure of, though, is that our chances t … | Continue reading


@garymarcus.substack.com | 1 year ago

𝐩(𝐝𝐨𝐨𝐦)

No, we probably won’t all die anytime soon, but there is still a lot to be worried about. | Continue reading


@garymarcus.substack.com | 1 year ago

The US and China want different things, right?

The number one reason I hear us for not regulating AI is that if we don’t China will beat us, and if China beats us, we are all screwed, because they would use AI to different ends than we would. Like, presumably, surveilling their citizens. We would never do that. Right? R … | Continue reading


@garymarcus.substack.com | 1 year ago

The Rise and Fall of ChatGPT?

August has not been kind to generative AI | Continue reading


@garymarcus.substack.com | 1 year ago

Sentient AI: For the love of Darwin, let’s Stop to Think if We Should

A very short post on why a new paper is making me nervous | Continue reading


@garymarcus.substack.com | 1 year ago

No, Virginia, AGI is not imminent

Don’t believe what you read | Continue reading


@garymarcus.substack.com | 1 year ago

Face it, self-driving cars still haven’t earned their stripes

Edge cases remain a serious, unsolved problem, a hundred billion dollars later. | Continue reading


@garymarcus.substack.com | 1 year ago

Automatic Disinformation Threatens Democracy— and It’s Here

X (formerly known as Twitter) could easily be a casualty of this war | Continue reading


@garymarcus.substack.com | 1 year ago

The Imminent Enshittification of the Internet

LLMs are creating a huge sanitation problem that will probably never be solved | Continue reading


@garymarcus.substack.com | 1 year ago

What exactly are the economics of AI?

Some AI makes a ton of money; a lot of it is still speculative | Continue reading


@garymarcus.substack.com | 1 year ago

What if Generative AI turned out to be a Dud?

Some possible economic and geopolitical implications | Continue reading


@garymarcus.substack.com | 1 year ago

Jumpstarting AI Governance

Customizable governance-in-a-box, catalyzed by philanthropy | Continue reading


@garymarcus.substack.com | 1 year ago

Two models of AI oversight - and how things could go deeply wrong

It’s good that governments are stepping up, but some of the signals are deeply worrisome | Continue reading


@garymarcus.substack.com | 1 year ago

AI risks, short-term and long—and what we need to do about them

Finding common ground with Geoff Hinton | Continue reading


@garymarcus.substack.com | 1 year ago

Scientists, governments, and corporations urgently need to work together to mitigate AI risk

“It is hard to see how you can prevent the bad actors from using it for bad things” -- but we must try | Continue reading


@garymarcus.substack.com | 1 year ago

How China might crush the West in the race to AGI if we don’t up our regulatory game

Regulation doesn’t always stifle innovation | Continue reading


@garymarcus.substack.com | 1 year ago

Stop Treating AI Models Like People

No, they haven’t decided to teach themselves anything, they don’t love you back, and they still aren’t even a little bit sentient. | Continue reading


@garymarcus.substack.com | 1 year ago

GPT-5 and irrational exuberance

Rumors of AGI's imminent arrival are greatly exaggerated | Continue reading


@garymarcus.substack.com | 1 year ago

The first known chatbot associated death

What we do and don’t know, and why it matters | Continue reading


@garymarcus.substack.com | 1 year ago

I am not afraid of robots. I am afraid of people.

Some thoughts on AI risks, near-term and long-term, some recent controversies in AI, and why we are in trouble if we can’t find a way to work together | Continue reading


@garymarcus.substack.com | 1 year ago

Italian ban on ChatGPT

Don’t go breaking my GDPR | Continue reading


@garymarcus.substack.com | 1 year ago

The Open Letter Controversy

The letter wasn’t perfect; a lot of the criticism was misguided. What should we actually do? | Continue reading


@garymarcus.substack.com | 1 year ago

A temporary pause on training extra large language models

Breaking news: The letter that I mentioned earlier today is now public. It calls for a 6 month moratorium on training systems that are “more powerful than GPT-4”. A lot of notable people signed. I joined in. I had no hand in drafting it, and there are things to fuss o … | Continue reading


@garymarcus.substack.com | 1 year ago

AI risk ≠ AGI risk

Superintelligence may or may not be imminent. But there’s a lot to be worried about, either way. | Continue reading


@garymarcus.substack.com | 1 year ago

The Sparks of AGI? Or the End of Science?

Marching into the future with an obstructed view | Continue reading


@garymarcus.substack.com | 1 year ago

This Week in AI Doublespeak

A few more words about bullshit | Continue reading


@garymarcus.substack.com | 1 year ago

GPT-4’s successes, and GPT-4’s failures

How GPT-4 fits into the larger tapestry of the quest for artificial general intelligence | Continue reading


@garymarcus.substack.com | 1 year ago

Should we worry more about short-term AI risk or long-term AI risk?

We can’t just act as if nothing is happening here. And we can’t act like we have infinite time to decide what to do, either. | Continue reading


@garymarcus.substack.com | 1 year ago

Caricaturing Noam Chomsky

Four attacks on Chomsky’s recent op-ed, and why their punches don’t quite land | Continue reading


@garymarcus.substack.com | 1 year ago

The long shadow of GPT

We don’t really know what’s coming. | Continue reading


@garymarcus.substack.com | 1 year ago

Don’t Look Up: The AI Edition

The game is afoot, but a lot of folks are still in denial | Continue reading


@garymarcus.substack.com | 1 year ago

The threat of automated misinformation is only getting worse

Microsoft definitely doesn’t have this under control | Continue reading


@garymarcus.substack.com | 1 year ago

Is it time to hit the pause button on AI?

An essay on technology and policy, co-authored with Canadian Parliament Member Michelle Rempel Garner. | Continue reading


@garymarcus.substack.com | 1 year ago

Don’t Go Breaking My Heart

Chatbots don’t have feelings, but people do. We need to start thinking about the consequences. | Continue reading


@garymarcus.substack.com | 1 year ago

What did they know, and when did they know it? The Microsoft Bing edition.

A new discovery that makes a curious story a whole lot more curious | Continue reading


@garymarcus.substack.com | 1 year ago

Why *is* Bing so reckless?

And how did some prominent journalists utterly miss this initially? | Continue reading


@garymarcus.substack.com | 1 year ago

David beats Go-liath

Apparently “superhuman” intelligence, even in limited domains, isn’t always what you think | Continue reading


@garymarcus.substack.com | 1 year ago

How Not to Test GPT-3

Why doing psychology on large language models is harder than you might think | Continue reading


@garymarcus.substack.com | 1 year ago

Smells a little bit like AI winter?

A lot is going wrong all at once. Not sure it is coincidence; my flight is about to take off but a quick note, on three major bits of AI news: Tesla FSD recall, today Google stock drop after Bard fiasco, last week Microsoft must be having a code red over the Bing meltdowns, espec … | Continue reading


@garymarcus.substack.com | 1 year ago

Two frightening things before breakfast

We are living in the Wild AI West. Get used to it. | Continue reading


@garymarcus.substack.com | 1 year ago

The rise and fall of Microsoft’s new Bing

A week ago, the New York Times gushed about Bing, heralding a revolution. The internet doesn’t seem convinced | Continue reading


@garymarcus.substack.com | 1 year ago

What Google Should Really Be Worried About

How sewers of lies could spell the end of web search | Continue reading


@garymarcus.substack.com | 1 year ago