Come see me speak about Japan!

Plus: A bunch of fun posts I've written about Japanese urbanism and Japanese society. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 4 months ago

Why Trump (or Harris) might fail to stand up to China

A very real possibility that more people need to be worried about. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 4 months ago

Yes, we still have to work

The automated luxury paradise is still just science fiction. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 4 months ago

At least five interesting things for the middle of your week (#44)

Poland vs. China; smartphones; basic income; the soft landing; wages and automation; software and inequality; immigrant doctors | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 5 months ago

Biden's legacy: a summary

Why the best President of my lifetime might get misremembered as a bumbling caretaker. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 5 months ago

Don’t Rock the Vote

Democrats are the party that benefits from low voter turnout. They just don’t know it yet. (Guest post by Wally Nowinski) | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 5 months ago

Bad and good arguments for industrial policy

Has China invented a better way to run an advanced economy? | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 5 months ago

Understanding the new Tech Right

There are many reasons some tech companies and figures are now supporting Trump. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 5 months ago

Europe's fate is in Germany's hands now

That's a scary thought, but not for the reason it used to be. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 5 months ago

How can America be stabilized?

In the aftermath of the assassination attempt on Trump, America is the world's least stable Great Power. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 5 months ago

There's not that much wealth in the world

A little-understood fact. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 5 months ago

Skilled immigration is a national security priority

A joint blog post by Noah and Minn Kim on America's need for a national skilled immigration strategy. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 5 months ago

At least five interesting things for the middle of your week (#43)

Slop wars; Poland and Ukraine; AI bubble; MMT reversal; | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 5 months ago

Let's evaluate the whole Republican party platform!

Who says econ blogging can't be fun? | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 5 months ago

Energy Bell: The sketch of an idea

How can we get America back to the forefront of energy research? | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 5 months ago

Why has U.S. manufacturing productivity stagnated for over a decade?

A few hypotheses about a very disturbing trend. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 5 months ago

Assessing the threats to the Republic

A somber 4th of July post, but hopefully also a sober one. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 5 months ago

At least five interesting things to start your week (#42)

The end of Chevron deference; export controls; jerky American profs; basic income; economics of AI; solar power uses; Global South tariffs; Gen Z wages; Stiglitz | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 5 months ago

The elemental foe

Lifting humanity out of poverty is Job #1. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 5 months ago

Time to think about a second Trump term

What will it mean for the U.S. and the world? | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 5 months ago

The age of SASEA

South Asia and Southeast Asia are globalization's next frontier. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 5 months ago

Yes, of course crime is way down

The people telling you crime isn't falling are feeding you a line. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 5 months ago

The triumph of electromagnetism over thermodynamics

How electricity is replacing combustion as humanity's key tool for mastering the physical world. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 6 months ago

At least five interesting things for your weekend (#41)

Soviet America (or not); the energy revolution; Trump's tax cuts; the Build-Nothing Country; macro data mysteries | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 6 months ago

Give us your ideas on how to deal with Chinese chips!

A policy competition from the Federation of American Scientists, Chris Miller, ChinaTalk, and me | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 6 months ago

China's demographics will be fine through mid-century

There is no imminent crisis. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 6 months ago

Noam Chomsky and the end of "America bad"

One towering intellectual defined our thinking on foreign policy for a generation. He got a lot of things wrong. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 6 months ago

Why some franchises go downhill while others stay great

A little break from our typical economics fare. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 6 months ago

Is the West falling behind in science?

China is now the leader in applied physical sciences. How can the U.S. and its allies catch up? | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 6 months ago

How not to be fooled by viral charts, Part 2

When good data gets attached to a misleading narrative. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 6 months ago

At least five interesting things for the middle of your week (#40)

Europe's Greens; jobs and the Great Replacement; tariffs and development; rent control; service costs | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 6 months ago

Three holes in the U.S.' economic strategy against China

Legacy chips, drones, and coordination with allies. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 6 months ago

Decade of the Battery

A repost with some updates. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 6 months ago

Trump and inflation

There are several good reasons to be worried. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 6 months ago

How many of our "facts" about society, health, and the economy are fake?

The rise in maternal mortality, the fall in geographic mobility, the rise in teen suicide, and many other "facts" are being called into question. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 6 months ago

At least five interesting things for the middle of your week (#39)

Modi's third term; Biden and the border; good news on climate; nonprofits being bad; interest rates and austerity | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 6 months ago

How much can you really learn about a country from visiting it?

Not as much as people think. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 6 months ago

A preview of the next four years?

Trump's conviction could herald a conservative renaissance, or four years of crippling institutional conflict | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 6 months ago

Climate is just one piece of industrial policy

It can't take precedence over everything else, all the time. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 6 months ago

Happy fun Cold War 2 update

It's getting a little warmer out there. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 6 months ago

The case of the angry history postdoc

Elite overproduction spotted in the wild. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 6 months ago

At least five interesting things to start your week (#38)

WW2 production; "Neopopulism"; fake science; desire modification; deregulation ideas | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 6 months ago

A pivotal moment for Japan's national defense

A guest post by Jonathan Grady | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 7 months ago

How to devalue the dollar

Trump and Lighthizer want to "weaken" the dollar. It's an idea worth considering, but the devil is in the details. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 7 months ago

How liberal democracy might lose the 21st century

A scary little theory about information and freedom. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 7 months ago

In which British writers scold America on trade

If you don't acknowledge the point of tariffs, how can you hope to criticize them? | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 7 months ago

At least five interesting things to start your week (#37)

The U.S. as trade war leader; Russia/China infowar; Biden and inflation; Yglesias on industrial policy; How to get immigrants to the Rust Belt; How to lose money | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 7 months ago

Why is China producing so many export goods, anyway?

Six theories. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 7 months ago