AI keeps stubbornly refusing to take our jobs

Happy Labor Day!! Your labor is still valuable. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 8 hours ago

America is still beating China in the AI race

The U.S. is staying ahead, though the costs of that lead are still unknown. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 2 days ago

Why you won’t get a flying car

A review of “Where is My Flying Car?”, by J. Storrs Hall, and some other thoughts on the future of technology. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 4 days ago

Roundup #87: Technology BAD!!

The Hugging Face attack; TV and loneliness; Leftist antisemitism; Another Acemoglu paper; The Electric Revolution | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 6 days ago

In defense of Asian American art

People are creating some very interesting and original stuff! | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 8 days ago

Here’s how we’re all going to die

Spoiler: It’s vibe-coded superviruses. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 10 days ago

The death of Market Street

How San Francisco turned its most iconic street into a giant empty scar. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 12 days ago

What if our biggest problems aren’t economic?

A new social challenge for a new century. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 14 days ago

Are we watching the U.S. go bankrupt?

No, but there are still reasons for concern. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 16 days ago

Economists should be worried about birth rates

Don’t be so quick to dismiss the threat of an aging, declining population. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 18 days ago

Where to eat in San Francisco

Part 1 of my personal recommendations. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 20 days ago

The end of an era for China's economy

Zhu Rongji's formula won't work anymore. But that doesn't mean Xi Jinping's will work either. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 22 days ago

23 low-regret recommendations for AI policy

A guest post by Tim Fist and Saif Khan, with Tao Burga, Arthur Tellis, Ben Schifman, Jonah Weinbaum, and Olivia Scharfman | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 24 days ago

Roundup #86: Unintended consequences

The MAGA decline; The labor share decline; OPTs and American jobs; AI and Indian outsourcing; Drug users; AI and productivity; Botswana; Interracial Marriage; AI writing | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 26 days ago

The poverty of anti-tech thought

Some of my colleagues have been led into an intellectual cul-de-sac. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 27 days ago

Should we "pace" AI self-improvement?

A guest post by Tim Fist and Saif Khan. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 28 days ago

Banning data centers would blow up the U.S. economy

There's one thing keeping us afloat right now, and people want to get rid of it. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 1 month ago

Are the Democrats going to save us this time?

And if not, what do we do? | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 1 month ago

The end of the age of heroes

AI will soon be better at math than any human. What does that mean? | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 1 month ago

Slopulism is taking over America

Sometimes bad populist ideas are just a mistake; sometimes they're being promoted for ideological reasons. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 1 month ago

Why did South Korean stocks just crash?

The AI boom creates a lot of uncertainty. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 1 month ago

Roundup #85: Most policy is also industrial policy

Trump and science; U.S. national debt; Europe and software; America and trains; China and metal refining; Indian women; Murder | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 1 month ago

What will more intelligence actually do for us?

A lot, actually. But it won't look quite like what humans do with our intelligence. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 1 month ago

We asked too much of the American university

Our one remaining functional institution is going downhill. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 1 month ago

Who was the worst monster of the 20th century?

And who is the worst monster of the 21st? | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 1 month ago

The UK is a cautionary tale for the U.S.

Learning from Britain's missteps doesn't mean looking down on them. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 1 month ago

America's political economy is pretty bleak right now

We can get some good things done, but major efforts will be difficult with our divided politics. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 1 month ago

Book Review: "Power and Progress"

A timely repost. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 1 month ago

Why I didn't sign the "We Must Act Now" statement (yet)

I'd like to know exactly what the actions are. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 1 month ago

The American suburbs are better than you think

They're not my personal cup of tea, but there are good reasons people like them. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 1 month ago

I have never been working class

Unlike some American elites, I actually understand this fact. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 1 month ago

MAGA's attack on science is even worse than it looks

The engine that powered history's greatest nation is in danger. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 1 month ago

JD Vance's crusade against GDP is wrong and bad

Making Americans poorer won't make our society better. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 2 months ago

No, China did not manage to avoid a crash

But there are still things we can learn from how they manage their macroeconomy. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 2 months ago

The American age was the human age

Reflections on 250 years. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 2 months ago

Stop screeching about immigration, and get smart about it

The culture war is making it impossible for us to deal with declining population. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 2 months ago

Roundup #84: Bears on bikes

Vibecession (or not); AI depolarization; Existential AI risk; Millennials vs. Boomers; Deindustrialization; Russian oil revenue; GLP-1s; AI and jobs | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 2 months ago

Will AI make companies outsource more, or less?

Maybe both. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 2 months ago

Europe's resistance to AC is driving it insane

A timely repost, with some updates. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 2 months ago

The Democrats have their own MAGA now

The shape of America's new Left is becoming clearer. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 2 months ago

China is winning the other tech race

They understand the importance of the electric revolution. America, so far, does not. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 2 months ago

Pizza wheels are bad, Japanese toilets are great

So why do Americans use the former and not the latter? | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 2 months ago

What defines Japan's national identity?

A guest post by Hiroko Yoda. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 2 months ago

Does anything I write matter anymore?

Punditry in the age of populism, AI, and monetization. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 2 months ago

Iran is Trump's Katrina

Thoughts on the fallout from the Iran debacle. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 2 months ago

Will China, Inc. be zombified?

A question surprisingly few people are asking. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 2 months ago

Degrowth would make Europeans into "Europoors"

Why Europe must grow. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 2 months ago

Are you finally ready to admit it's the phones?

We didn't evolve to live our lives as terminals of a digital hive-mind. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 2 months ago