Dating advice for men

Don't believe the incel stuff. Romance is very possible for regular, average men. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 9 hours ago

Yes, Europeans are poorer than Americans

Comfortable, leisurely, pleasant stagnation is just not good enough for the modern age. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 2 days ago

Trump actually started to decouple America from China

The "economic divorce" between the two countries is proceeding slowly, but it is proceeding. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 4 days ago

Tyrants are losing wars

Ruthlessness and machismo will only get you so far in a technological world. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 6 days ago

Do billionaires earn their money?

That's probably the wrong question. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 8 days ago

Barack Obama was a successful President

A repost, because I'm annoyed. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 9 days ago

Could development economics be more useful?

What's really needed is humility. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 11 days ago

AI's big messaging pivot

Some top AI leaders now say their technology will create jobs. Should we believe them? | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 12 days ago

California's "billionaire tax" is the wrong approach

Left-populist instincts are leading to silly policy ideas. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 14 days ago

Roundup #81: Back to our regular programming

National debt; AI cyberattacks; Phone bans; AI and coding jobs; Millennials vs. Boomers; Public order; California YIMBYism | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 16 days ago

Scoring the Jensen-Dwarkesh debate

Export controls are holding back Chinese AI. Should we keep them? | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 18 days ago

The moderately easy problem of consciousness

Before deciding if computers are self-aware, let's figure out how humans become self-aware. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 20 days ago

Why shoplifting is bad

It may feel like a small act of rebellion, but it hurts a lot of people who don't deserve it. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 22 days ago

Is China's soft power really rising, or is America's just crumbling?

Chinamaxxing vs. Americaminning. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 24 days ago

No, America is not in a "stealth manufacturing boom"

Tariffs are canceling out the tailwinds. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 26 days ago

Updated thoughts on industrial policy

Economic consensus is changing, but it has a long way to go. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 27 days ago

Hasan Piker is bad for the Democrats

Republicans embraced extremist ideology and it backfired on them. Democrats shouldn't follow suit. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 29 days ago

You are what you consume

Personal identity should come from the things we get to choose for ourselves. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 1 month ago

What if a few AI companies end up with all the money and power?

Contemplating the grim future of the "Robot Lords". | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 1 month ago

Will Americans want more housing if it looks prettier?

Maybe a little bit, but I have my doubts. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 1 month ago

Yes, assimilation is good

Building a unified American culture isn't about bullying people; it's about living together in peace. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 1 month ago

I told you this would end badly

In retrospect, there were signs that Trump was not a good leader. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 1 month ago

Roundup #80: All AI, all the time

Growth; Biosecurity; Cybersecurity; Pseudonymity; Quant trading; AI adoption | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 1 month ago

Salarymen, specialists, and small businesses

Some brief thoughts on the (near) future of work. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 1 month ago

How Japan has changed in the last 20 years

Reflections on a unique nation. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 1 month ago

If you're in Tokyo this Friday, come to my hanami!

An annual tradition. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 1 month ago

Maybe you should have bought an electric car

The Iran War is illustrating the cost of anti-EV nonsense. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 1 month ago

Plentiful, high-paying jobs in the age of AI

A timely repost, with some needed clarifications. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 1 month ago

AI has the worst sales pitch I've ever seen

"Our product will make you economically useless, and possibly kill you" is not a value proposition. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 1 month ago

The economic consequences of the Iran war

The U.S. is likely to get off easy, while others will bear the brunt. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 1 month ago

There isn't always a "long arc" of morality

Progressives should beware the idea that history will deliver them inevitable victories. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 1 month ago

A conversation with Claude

In which a robot and I have a fun dorm-room chat about the future of science. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 1 month ago

China is quietly looking weaker

Xi Jinping's paranoia, rapidly changing technology, and the limitations of China's system could cut short the Chinese Century. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 1 month ago

Save us, Digital Cronkite!

Social media tore our society apart. Perhaps AI can put it back together. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 1 month ago

Roundup #79: The revenge of macroeconomics

Ehrlich; AI and knowledge; The Strait of Hormuz; Government debt and inflation; Japanese robots; Democrats and taxes; Smartphones | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 2 months ago

The future isn't what it used to be

Thoughts on extrapolative expectations. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 2 months ago

San Francisco's urban revival is in danger

If the Board of Supervisors falls to the Progressives, the old dysfunction will return. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 2 months ago

Are we in the foothills of World War 3?

The coalitions are hardening, and the weapons are being deployed. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 2 months ago

Something feels weird about this economy

Is it AI? Tariffs? The immigration crackdown? | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 2 months ago

If AI is a weapon, why don't we regulate it like one?

Thoughts on the fight between Anthropic and the Department of War. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 2 months ago

Japan can be America's arsenal

A guest post by Rie Yano. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 2 months ago

Superintelligence is already here, today

It's going to revolutionize science. It also might take control of this planet. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 2 months ago

The shape of the multipolar world is a little clearer

A few thoughts on the new Iran war. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 2 months ago

Roundup #78: Roboliberalism

AI and productivity; Yuppie Fishtank Theory; Global development; American living standards; George Borjas | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 2 months ago

Why does America feel worse than other countries? Crime.

In most ways, the U.S. is a typical rich country. Except for crime. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 2 months ago

The Citrini post is just a scary bedtime story

AI might take your job, but it probably won't crash the economy -- and if it does, we know how to deal with it. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 2 months ago

Does anyone know why we're still doing tariffs?

The ridiculous policy has taken on a life of its own. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 2 months ago

Democratic economic policy in the age of AI

The economy is changing fast. Democrats need to be a rock in the storm. | Continue reading


@noahpinion.blog | 2 months ago