We’re Hiring a Part-Time Video and Motion Graphics Producer

FiveThirtyEight is seeking a part-time video and motion graphics producer to help us create weekly political videos to enhance our election coverage. The produc… | Continue reading


@fivethirtyeight.com | 3 years ago

Some Volunteers Want to Be Infected with Coronavirus to Help Find a Vaccine

Gavriel Kleinwaks wants to get COVID-19, and she can’t understand why I find that surprising. The 23-year-old grad student is one of more than 30,000 volunteers… | Continue reading


@fivethirtyeight.com | 3 years ago

How to Make Indoor Air Safer

If you’re waiting for a break from bad news about COVID, don’t hold your breath — or, actually, do hold your breath. Experts have understood for months that the… | Continue reading


@fivethirtyeight.com | 3 years ago

Republicans and Democrats See Covid-19 Differently. Is That Making People Sick?

Is partisanship making the COVID-19 pandemic worse? | Continue reading


@fivethirtyeight.com | 3 years ago

Want a Covid-19 Test? It’s Much Easier to Get in Wealthier, Whiter Neighborhoods

Graphics by Ryan Best Design by Emily Scherer When the coronavirus outbreak threatened to rock Philadelphia’s predominantly Black neighborhoods, Dr. Ala Stanfor… | Continue reading


@fivethirtyeight.com | 3 years ago

Endurance Athletes Set New Records Despite Lack of Races

Just before 6:30 a.m. on June 15, sleep-deprived and feet afire with blisters, Joe “Stringbean” McConaughy crossed over Vermont’s border with Massachusetts. Aft… | Continue reading


@fivethirtyeight.com | 3 years ago

When Does a Pandemic Start to Erode Civil Liberties?

Mask mandates have become a polarizing issue across the country, from Arizona to Georgia. So, where do we draw the line between public health and civil libertie… | Continue reading


@fivethirtyeight.com | 3 years ago

For Aspiring Performers, the NBA Is the Best Place to Be a Mascot

We talked to the people inside the plush, furry costumes that are symbols of North American sports teams. | Continue reading


@fivethirtyeight.com | 3 years ago

MLB’s Newest Ballpark Is a Shift Away from Retro-Era Stadiums

MLB stadiums could be entering a new era. | Continue reading


@fivethirtyeight.com | 3 years ago

Economists Think Congress Could Create an Economic Disaster This Summer

The economists in our survey think Congress could tank the economy. | Continue reading


@fivethirtyeight.com | 3 years ago

The spring of a presidential election year is often a busy time for adding new voters to the rolls, and a recent report from the Center for Election Innovation and Research shows registration numbers were even stronger in early 2020 than early 2016. But things changed dramaticall … | Continue reading


@fivethirtyeight.com | 3 years ago

The science of mask-wearing hasn’t changed, so why have our expectations?

Before every fashion retailer was selling their own cloth face covering, before a piece of fabric over your nose and mouth became a personal political statement… | Continue reading


@fivethirtyeight.com | 3 years ago

When Proof Is Not Enough

Throughout history, evidence of racism has failed to effect change. | Continue reading


@fivethirtyeight.com | 3 years ago

Why Statistics Don’t Capture the Full Extent of the Systemic Bias in Policing

Graphics by Jasmine Mithani Across the U.S., demonstrators have spent the past few weeks protesting against racial disparities in the country’s criminal justice… | Continue reading


@fivethirtyeight.com | 3 years ago

The Supreme Court Put DACA’s Fate in the Hands of Voters

DACA is safe — for now. On Thursday morning, the Supreme Court ruled that the Trump administration can’t immediately end the Deferred Action for Childhood Arri… | Continue reading


@fivethirtyeight.com | 3 years ago

The Hard Truth of Poker – and Life: You’re Never ‘Due’ for Good Cards

An excerpt from poker pro Maria Konnikova's new book. | Continue reading


@fivethirtyeight.com | 3 years ago

If the Supreme Court Lets the Electoral College Vote at Will, Will Chaos Ensue?

Probably not. | Continue reading


@fivethirtyeight.com | 3 years ago

FiveThirtyEight on political leans of U.S. sports fans (2017)

We asked fans what teams they back and who they vote for. | Continue reading


@fivethirtyeight.com | 3 years ago

University of Nebraska Helping Student-Athletes Become Social Media Influencers

Huskers will have an entire team dedicated to their personal brands. | Continue reading


@fivethirtyeight.com | 3 years ago

The Moderate Middle Is a Myth

Graphics by Ella Koeze Stop me if you’ve heard this one before: Independent voters will decide the election. Or better yet: Moderate voters will decide the elec… | Continue reading


@fivethirtyeight.com | 3 years ago

De-escalation keeps protestors and police safer

MINNEAPOLIS — Last Wednesday, Marcell Harris was hit by a rubber bullet. He had joined the second day of protests in this city over the killing of George Floyd, a black man who died after a police officer kneeled on his neck for more than eight minutes while bystanders filmed. | Continue reading


@fivethirtyeight.com | 3 years ago

Fact-Checking Misinformation Can Work. But It Might Not Be Enough

Last week, Twitter tried something new. When President Trump tweeted that “There is NO WAY (ZERO!) that Mail-In Ballots will be anything less than substantially… | Continue reading


@fivethirtyeight.com | 3 years ago

De-Escalation Keeps Protesters and Police Safer

MINNEAPOLIS — Last Wednesday, Marcell Harris was hit by a rubber bullet. He had joined the second day of protests in this city over the killing of George Floyd, a black man who died after a police officer kneeled on his neck for more than eight minutes while bystanders filmed. | Continue reading


@fivethirtyeight.com | 3 years ago

Police Killing Fewer People in Big Cities, but More in Suburban and Rural US

Six years after nationwide protests against police violence captured the country’s attention, the recent killings of Breonna Taylor and George Floyd have put th… | Continue reading


@fivethirtyeight.com | 3 years ago

Many Americans Getting More Money from Unemployment Than They Were FromTheirJobs

The coronavirus crisis has transformed our system for compensating jobless workers. | Continue reading


@fivethirtyeight.com | 3 years ago

Which States Have Produced the Most Presidential Nominees?

One side effect to the huge (and growing) scale of the 2020 Democratic field is geographical diversity. The candidates hail from everywhere from Vermont to Hawa… | Continue reading


@fivethirtyeight.com | 3 years ago

Without a Vaccine, Herd Immunity Won’t Save Us

Daniel Arlein has already had COVID-19. In March, the 36-year-old small business owner and DJ, who lives in Brooklyn, tested positive for the viral infection an… | Continue reading


@fivethirtyeight.com | 4 years ago

If Trump Is Down in the Polls, Why Do So Many Americans Think He’ll Win?

Welcome to FiveThirtyEight’s weekly politics chat. The transcript below has been lightly edited. sarahf (Sarah Frostenson, politics editor): FiveThirtyEight alu… | Continue reading


@fivethirtyeight.com | 4 years ago

The Jobs Report Gets Worse the More You Read It

Remember last month, when the jobs report was bad but not apocalyptic? Those were the days. The most recent jobs report is a stunning picture of how the pandemi… | Continue reading


@fivethirtyeight.com | 4 years ago

Anti-Donald Trump activism among conservatives — known informally as the “#NeverTrump” movement — started in early 2016 as a way to stop the businessman from … | Continue reading


@fivethirtyeight.com | 4 years ago

Why Scientists Think the Novel Coronavirus Developed Naturally

You could be forgiven for wondering how a disease as fast-moving and deadly as COVID-19 could just appear naturally, out of nowhere, seemingly overnight. Presid… | Continue reading


@fivethirtyeight.com | 4 years ago

The U.S. May Have Trouble Restarting Canada’s Sport

Like every other professional sports league headquartered in the United States, the NHL has been suspended for more than a month because of the COVID-19 pandemi… | Continue reading


@fivethirtyeight.com | 4 years ago

Why Are Some Young, Healthy People Getting Severe Covid-19?

Most young people who get COVID-19 get pretty nasty flu-like symptoms but fight off the infection on their own with bed rest and over-the-counter pain medicatio… | Continue reading


@fivethirtyeight.com | 4 years ago

There Are Not Enough Covid-19 Tests. There Are Also Too Many Covid-19 Tests

There are still not enough Americans being tested for COVID-19, but there are now many, many ways to be tested. The U.S. started this pandemic with a single dia… | Continue reading


@fivethirtyeight.com | 4 years ago

He Works in a Grocery Store but He's Still Losing Hours

As the coronavirus crisis stresses almost every facet of American life, we’re featuring the stories of people who are struggling to stay afloat, finding unexpec… | Continue reading


@fivethirtyeight.com | 4 years ago

Why Did the World Shut Down for Covid-19 but Not Ebola, SARS or Swine Flu?

We’re currently battling a global pandemic unlike any we’ve seen in over a century. But it’s also not the first modern virus we’ve faced. | Continue reading


@fivethirtyeight.com | 4 years ago

A Comic Strip Tour of the Wild World of Pandemic Modeling

Check out all the latest coronavirus polling we’ve collected. | Continue reading


@fivethirtyeight.com | 4 years ago

We’re currently battling a global pandemic unlike any we’ve seen in over a century. But it’s also not the first modern virus we’ve faced. | Continue reading


@fivethirtyeight.com | 4 years ago

There is increasing evidence that New York City and New York state are turning a corner in their efforts to fight back COVID-19, and the timing suggests that the shifts may be a result of social distancing measures. | Continue reading


@fivethirtyeight.com | 4 years ago

A Comic Strip Tour of the Wild World of Pandemic Modeling

Visit the post for more. | Continue reading


@fivethirtyeight.com | 4 years ago

More Than 16M Americans Have Lost Their Jobs in the Past Three Weeks

The sheer job-loss numbers for this recession are difficult to comprehend | Continue reading


@fivethirtyeight.com | 4 years ago

Media Coverage Doesn’t Determine Public Opinion on the Economy

In mid-February, Wall Street was celebrating the stock market reaching record highs. But the stock market has since lost roughly 20 percent of its value in the … | Continue reading


@fivethirtyeight.com | 4 years ago

Wisconsin Still Plans to Hold Its In-Person Primary on Tuesday

The fight song of the University of Wisconsin is “On, Wisconsin!” — and, for better or for worse, the state is certainly heeding that call this week. Even thoug… | Continue reading


@fivethirtyeight.com | 4 years ago

Coronavirus Case Counts Are Meaningless

*Unless you know something about testing. And even then, it gets complicated. | Continue reading


@fivethirtyeight.com | 4 years ago

*Unless you know something about testing. And even then, it gets complicated. | Continue reading


@fivethirtyeight.com | 4 years ago

Continue reading


@fivethirtyeight.com | 4 years ago

Many olympians might lose their shot due to ongoing pandemic

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@fivethirtyeight.com | 4 years ago

Why It’s So Freaking Hard to Make a Good Covid-19 Model

Here we are, in the middle of a pandemic, staring out our living room windows like aquarium fish. The question on everybody’s minds: How bad will this really ge… | Continue reading


@fivethirtyeight.com | 4 years ago